CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2021-12-05T14:36:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2021-12-05T14:36ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18445/-1
CME Note: Partial halo S in SOHO LASCO C2; during STEREO A data gap. Associated with a filament eruption centered near S45W10 (filament extending from E20 to W40), visible in SDO AIA 171/193/304 beginning 2021-12-05T11:30Z. Weak combined arrival signature with the CME with ID 2021-12-06T05:48:00-CME-001. Gradual increase in B_total, peaking at 9.95nT at 2021-12-11T03:27Z, increases also seen in density, temperature, and briefly in the solar wind speed (peaking at 337km/s).
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-12-10T13:27Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-12-09T20:30Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 60.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 108.23 hour(s)
Difference: 16.95 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2021-12-06T01:13Z
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